Taca da Liga | Semi-Finals

Jan 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
3 - 0
Viseu

Eustaquio (7'), Loader (66'), Folha (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca da Liga clash between Porto and Academico de Viseu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Porto
Saturday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Academico de Viseu

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Viseu 2-0 Beira-Mar
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 87.82%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Academico de Viseu had a probability of 3.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.36%) and 4-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.15%), while for an Academico de Viseu win it was 0-1 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Academico de Viseu
87.82% ( 0.75)	8.72% ( -0.39)	3.46% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 39.56% (

-1.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.59% (

-0.23)

28.41% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.74% (

-0.29)

49.26% (

0.29)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.82% (

0.08)

4.18% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.55% (

0.27)

17.45% (

-0.27)

Academico de Viseu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

41.28% (

-1.98)

58.72% (

1.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.02% (

-1.09)

89.98% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Porto 87.81%

Academico de Viseu 3.46%

Draw 8.72%

Porto	Draw	Academico de Viseu
3-0 @ 13.09% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.32) 4-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 6-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.18) 6-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.18) 7-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.13) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.77% Total : 87.81%	1-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.37% Total : 8.72%	0-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.05% Total : 3.46%