Taca de Portugal | Round of 16

Jan 11, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio Municipal do Fontelo

Viseu
2 - 0
Beira-Mar

Araujo (43'), Quizera (90+5' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Academico de Viseu and Beira-Mar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Academico de Viseu

Last Game: Viseu 2-1 Boavista
Tuesday, December 20 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Beira-Mar

Last Game: Beira-Mar 3-2 Pevidem
Wednesday, November 9 at 4pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academico de Viseu win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for Beira-Mar had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Academico de Viseu win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Beira-Mar win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Academico de Viseu would win this match.

Result
Academico de Viseu	Draw	Beira-Mar
49.04% ( 1.04)	24.11% ( -0.03)	26.85% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.5% (

-0.59)

45.49% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.17% (

-0.57)

67.82% (

0.57)

Academico de Viseu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36% (

0.19)

18.63% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06% (

0.31)

49.94% (

-0.31)

Beira-Mar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.3% (

-1.07)

30.69% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.05% (

-1.28)

66.95% (

1.28)

Score Analysis

Academico de Viseu 49.04%

Beira-Mar 26.85%

Draw 24.1%

Academico de Viseu	Draw	Beira-Mar
1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 49.04%	1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.1%	0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.97% Total : 26.85%