Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 4pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro

Beira-Mar
3 - 2
Pevidem

Carlitos (51'), C. Vieira (57'), Fonseca (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Alves (41'), Jorginho (70')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Beira-Mar and Pevidem.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beira-Mar

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Pevidem

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pevidem win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Beira-Mar had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pevidem win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Beira-Mar win was 1-0 (11.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Beira-MarDrawPevidem
35.41% (-0.642 -0.64)28.13% (-0.18 -0.18)36.46% (0.826 0.83)
Both teams to score 47.4% (0.533 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.26% (0.658 0.66)58.74% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.73% (0.508 0.51)79.27% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)
Beira-Mar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.49% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)67.87% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Pevidem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (0.855 0.86)30.82% (-0.853 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (0.993 0.99)67.1% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Beira-Mar 35.41%
    Pevidem 36.46%
    Draw 28.12%
Beira-MarDrawPevidem
1-0 @ 11.21% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 7.63% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.41%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.7% (-0.244 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.12%
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.72% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 36.46%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Beira-Mar
rhs 2.0


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