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Arouca1 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, January 20 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
for
Friday, January 20 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
23.53% ( 0.03) | 23.51% ( 0.01) | 52.96% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.98% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.22% ( -0.02) | 45.78% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.91% ( -0.02) | 68.09% ( 0.02) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.44% ( 0.02) | 33.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.8% ( 0.02) | 70.2% ( -0.02) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( -0.02) | 17.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.44% ( -0.04) | 47.56% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 23.54% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.5% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.76% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.96% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F23%2Fgambling-online.png "Footer logo for GAMSTOP"){kind=small}
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F06%2FGambleAware%20Secondary%20Main%20Grey.png "on February 3, 2024"){kind=small}