Taca da Liga
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Oday Dabbagh 58' goal
  • goal Paulinho 45'+7'
  • goal Paulinho 82'

Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.96%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result

Arouca 23.53% (+0.04)
Draw 23.51% (+0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 52.96% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.98% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.22% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 45.78% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.91% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 68.09% (+0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 66.44% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.56% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.2% (-0.02)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 82.75% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 17.25% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 52.44% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 47.56% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Arouca 23.54%
Draw 23.5%
Sporting Lisbon 52.96%
Arouca
1-0 @ 6.32% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.06% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.45% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 23.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 5.79% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.5%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.3% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.96%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2022 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Joao Basso 47' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dario Essugo 26' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 36' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 46' goal
  • Islam Slimani 52' goal
  • yellowcard Tiago Esgaio 15'
  • yellowcard David Simao 40'
  • yellowcard Nino Galovic 65'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Arsenio Nunes 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Oday Dabbagh 51' goal
  • Leandro Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Tiago Araujo 85' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Nunes 16'
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 45'
  • goal Nuno Santos 54'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 63'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 63'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 77'
  • yellowcard Tiago Tomas 90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Apr 2, 2017 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Mateus 9' goal
  • Vitor Costa de Brito 26' yellowcard
  • Filho Adilson 45' yellowcard
  • Anderson Luis 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 23'
  • goal Alan Ruiz 34'
  • goal Bruno Cesar 36'
  • yellowcard Daniel Castelo Podence 80'
  • yellowcard William Carvalho 88'
  • yellowcard Rui Patricio 94'
Primeira Liga
Nov 6, 2016 8.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bas Dost 9' goal
  • Gelson Martins 14' yellowcard
  • Adrien Silva 44' yellowcard
  • Joel Campbell 53' yellowcard
  • Joel Campbell 55' goal
  • Bas Dost 69' goal
  • yellowcard Filho Adilson 27'
  • yellowcard Vitor Costa 45'
  • redcard Vitor Costa 50'
Primeira Liga
Mar 19, 2016 6.30pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Teofilo Gutierrez 16' goal
  • Joao Mario 19' goal
  • Joao Mario 32' goal
  • Teofilo Gutierrez 45' goal
  • Bryan Ruiz 60' goal
  • yellowcard Jose Velasquez 22'
  • yellowcard Ivo Rodrigues 63'
  • goal Gege 67'
  • yellowcard Gege 80'