Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 15, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 1
Arouca

Vitoria (17' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Basso (79' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Chaves
Sunday, January 8 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 4-0 Arouca
Wednesday, January 11 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Arouca
49.87% ( 1.06)	25.38% ( -0.25)	24.75% ( -0.81)

Both teams to score 50.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

0.36)

52.42% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

0.31)

74.1% (

-0.31)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.96% (

0.6)

21.04% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.17% (

0.93)

53.83% (

-0.93)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.87% (

-0.5)

36.12% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.09% (

-0.52)

72.91% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Chaves 49.86%

Arouca 24.75%

Draw 25.38%

Chaves	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 49.86%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 24.75%