Primeira Liga
Gameweek
16
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-
Steven Vitoria
17'
-
Joao Basso
79'
Chaves vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result
Chaves
49.87%
▲
(+1.06)
Draw
25.38%
▼
(-0.25)
Arouca
24.75%
▼
(-0.81)
Both Teams to Score:
50.44%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.58%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 2.5
52.42%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 3.5
25.9%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 3.5
74.1%
▼
(-0.31)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
78.96%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 0.5
21.04%
▼
(-0.61)
Over 1.5
46.17%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 1.5
53.83%
▼
(-0.93)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
63.87%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 0.5
36.12%
▲
(+0.51)
Over 1.5
27.09%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
72.91%
▲
(+0.52)
Score analysis
Chaves
49.86%
Draw
25.38%
Arouca
24.75%
Chaves
1-0
@
11.84%
▲
(+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.86%
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.09)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.86%
Draw
1-1
@
12.06%
▼
(-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.38%
0-0 @ 7.6% ▼ (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.38%
Arouca
0-1
@
7.74%
▼
(-0.22)
1-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.75%
1-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.15)
0-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 24.75%
