Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2023 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Oday Dabbagh 6' goal
  • Alan Ruiz 32' goal
  • Oday Dabbagh 76' goal
  • Benji Michel 79' goal

Arouca vs Portimonense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2023 3.30pm
Chaves 1 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Portimonense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2023 8.15pm
Portimonense 0 - 0 Santa Clara
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Welinton Junior

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result

Arouca 46.64% (+0.50)
Draw 27.19% (-0.14)
Portimonense 26.18% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.52% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.87% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 58.13% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 21.21% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 78.79% (-0.20)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 75.06% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 24.94% (-0.36)
Over 1.5 40.43% (+0.49)
Under 1.5 59.57% (-0.49)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5 61.98% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 38.02% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 25.21% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 74.79% (+0.17)

Score analysis

Arouca 46.63%
Draw 27.18%
Portimonense 26.18%
Arouca
1-0 @ 13.16% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.14% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 8.84% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.23% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.09% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.98% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.47% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.42% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 46.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 9.48% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 4.28% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.18%
Portimonense
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 26.18%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mateus Quaresma 22' yellowcard
  • David Simao 50' goal
  • yellowcard Willyan 37'
  • yellowcard Fahd Moufi 57'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 18, 2021 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Willyan 12' yellowcard
  • Fali Cande 70' yellowcard
  • Luquinhas 71' goal
  • Carlinhos 89' yellowcard
  • goal Andre Silva 52'
  • yellowcard Andre Bukia 73'
  • yellowcard Leandro Silva 88'
  • yellowcard Eboue Kouassi 89'