Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca4 - 0Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, January 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, January 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Santa Clara
Friday, January 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, January 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
13
We said: Arouca 1-1 Portimonense
Both sides will be pleased with their respective campaigns so far, and there is unlikely to be much splitting them on the day. As such, we would not be surprised if a share of the spoils is the ultimate outcome, which would prolong Portimonense's winless streak. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Portimonense |
46.64% ( 0.49) | 27.19% ( -0.13) | 26.18% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 46.52% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
