Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 20, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
4 - 0
Portimonense

Dabbagh (6', 76'), Ruiz (32'), Michel (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, January 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Santa Clara
Friday, January 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Portimonense
46.64% ( 0.49)	27.19% ( -0.13)	26.18% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 46.52% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.87% (

0.25)

58.13% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21% (

0.19)

78.79% (

-0.19)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

0.35)

24.94% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

0.48)

59.57% (

-0.49)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.98% (

-0.17)

38.02% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.21% (

-0.17)

74.79% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Arouca 46.63%

Portimonense 26.18%

Draw 27.18%

Arouca	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 13.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 46.63%	1-1 @ 12.73% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.18%	0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.18%