Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 6, 2023 at 7pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
1 - 0
Portimonense

Mario (9' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-0 Benfica
Friday, December 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Casa Pia
Wednesday, December 28 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 8.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Portimonense win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Portimonense
77.74% ( 0)	13.76% ( -0.02)	8.51% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.24% (

0.21)

30.76% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.89% (

0.25)

52.1% (

-0.25)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.62% (

0.04)

6.37% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.08% (

0.13)

23.92% (

-0.13)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.95% (

0.2)

44.05% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.83% (

0.17)

80.17% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Benfica 77.74%

Portimonense 8.51%

Draw 13.76%

Benfica	Draw	Portimonense
2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.04% Total : 77.74%	1-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.04% Total : 13.76%	1-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.69% Total : 8.51%