Taca da Liga
Nov 27, 2022 11.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Portimão
  • Ricardo Matos 8' goal
  • Anderson Oliveira 77' goal

Portimonense vs Sporting Covilha - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Nov 19, 2022 3.30pm
Nacional 2 - 0 Portimonense

Sporting Covilha

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Nov 20, 2022 6.00pm
Sporting Covilha 2 - 2 Gil Vicente

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 17.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result

Portimonense 60.37% (-0.18)
Draw 21.71% (+0.08)
Sporting Covilha 17.92% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.2% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.74% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 45.26% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 32.4% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 67.6% (+0.14)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5 85.45% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 14.55% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 57.4% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 42.6% (+0.20)

Sporting Covilha Goals

Over 0.5 61.09% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.91% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.36% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 75.64% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Portimonense 60.36%
Draw 21.71%
Sporting Covilha 17.92%
Portimonense
1-0 @ 10.91% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.26% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 60.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.66% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 21.71%
Sporting Covilha
0-1 @ 5.34% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.86% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 17.92%