Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
41.1% ( 0.07) | 27.71% ( -0.03) | 31.19% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.82% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.16% ( 0.09) | 57.84% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.44% ( 0.08) | 78.56% ( -0.07) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.34% ( 0.09) | 27.66% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.79% ( 0.11) | 63.21% ( -0.11) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.1% ( 0.02) | 33.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.43% ( 0.02) | 70.57% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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