Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 41.1% ( | 27.71% ( | 31.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.16% ( | 57.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.44% ( | 78.56% ( |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( | 27.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( | 63.21% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( | 33.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( | 70.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 12.05% ( 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 4-0 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.1% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.14% ( 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.19% |