Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.