Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Estoril

Famalicao
1 - 0
Estoril

Colombatto (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 47.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Famalicao in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawEstoril Praia
47.9% (0.151 0.15)26.49% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.62% (-0.113 -0.11)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.04% (0.062999999999995 0.06)55.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.94% (0.052 0.05)77.06% (-0.053999999999988 -0.05)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (0.096000000000004 0.1)23.39% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.14 0.14)57.38% (-0.142 -0.14)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.69% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)37.31% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.91% (-0.064 -0.06)74.1% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 47.9%
    Estoril Praia 25.62%
    Draw 26.48%
FamalicaoDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.4% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 47.9%
1-1 @ 12.5% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.48%
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.62%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Estoril

Famalicao
56.3%
Draw
25.0%
Estoril Praia
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2022 8pm
Estoril
0-1
Famalicao

Erison (40')
Colombatto (9' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 6pm
Estoril
2-0
Famalicao
Geraldes (20'), Arthur (45')
Geraldes (39'), Vital (70'), Esteves (90+5'), Joaozinho (90+8')

Colombatto (90+7')
Apr 29, 2022 8.15pm
Famalicao
3-1
Estoril
Marin (45+2'), Tavares (66'), Kadile (90+4')
Assuncao (26'), De La Fuente (49'), Kadile (90+5')
Fonte (68')
Geraldes (23')
Ferraresi (16')
Dec 17, 2021 9.15pm
Estoril
2-2
Famalicao
Fonte (45'), Chiquinho (45+2')
Vital (30'), Franco (90+2'), Gamboa (90+3')
Vital (42' og.), Banza (53')
Junior (13'), Penetra (21'), Ofori (63'), Pickel (90+2'), Riccieli (90+3')
Aug 1, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Famalicao
1-0
Estoril
Rodrigues (9')
Ofori (30'), Riccieli (45+2')

Maria Morais Cardoso Vital (21'), Crespo (42'), Soria (78'), Geraldes (90+3')
Crespo (45')
rhs 2.0


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