Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 0
Estoril

Rene (3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Maritimo
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Estoril Praia
33.11% ( -0.75)	27.63% ( -0.37)	39.26% ( 1.12)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.88% (

1.28)

57.12% (

-1.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01% (

1.01)

77.99% (

-1.01)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.82% (

0.15)

32.18% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

0.17)

68.67% (

-0.17)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.65% (

1.28)

28.35% (

-1.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.91% (

1.58)

64.09% (

-1.58)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 33.1%

Estoril Praia 39.26%

Draw 27.62%

Maritimo	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.47) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.1%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.26%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Estoril

Maritimo

28.1%

Draw

46.9%

Estoril Praia

25.0%

Head to Head

Feb 5, 2022 3.30pm

Maritimo

0-0

Estoril

Mendes (17'), Junior (25'), Guitane (90+4')

Lourenco (65'), Baro (84')
Soria (68')

Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm

Estoril

2-1

Maritimo

Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')

Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')

Jan 27, 2021 8.15pm

Quarter-Finals

Maritimo

1-3

Estoril

Joel (29')
Correa (37'), Morais (40'), Winck (78'), Jean (90+5'), Kerkez (90+9'), Hermes (116')
Winck (102'), Costa (120')

Gamboa (90+10' pen.), Thierry Lazare (97'), Harramiz (109')
Crespo (76'), Empis (86'), Soria (113')

Apr 7, 2018 4pm

Estoril

1-1

Maritimo