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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Estoril

Maritimo
1 - 0
Estoril

Rene (3')
Costa (27'), Val (41'), Afonso (57'), Liza (64'), de Lacerda (67'), Rene (83'), Costa (90')
Afonso (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lea Siliki (47'), Carvalho (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Maritimo
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Maritimo 1-1 Estoril Praia

Maritimo will be disappointed that they were not able to build on that victory over Sporting Lisbon by beating Vizela, but will now relish the opportunity to drag Estoril into a relegation scrap by collecting all three points this weekend. The Canarinhos are looking for back-to-back wins for the first time in the Primeira Liga this season, but we feel they will have to settle for a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
MaritimoDrawEstoril Praia
33.11% (-0.747 -0.75) 27.63% (-0.374 -0.37) 39.26% (1.122 1.12)
Both teams to score 48.59% (0.97600000000001 0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.88% (1.283 1.28)57.12% (-1.282 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (1.014 1.01)77.99% (-1.013 -1.01)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (0.154 0.15)32.18% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.33% (0.174 0.17)68.67% (-0.173 -0.17)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (1.28 1.28)28.35% (-1.279 -1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (1.583 1.58)64.09% (-1.583 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Maritimo 33.1%
    Estoril Praia 39.26%
    Draw 27.62%
MaritimoDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 33.1%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 9.12% (-0.456 -0.46)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 11.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.216 0.22)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.208 0.21)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.171 0.17)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.125 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.101 0.1)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.26%

How you voted: Maritimo vs Estoril

Maritimo
28.1%
Draw
46.9%
Estoril Praia
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
0-0
Estoril

Mendes (17'), Junior (25'), Guitane (90+4')

Lourenco (65'), Baro (84')
Soria (68')
Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm
Estoril
2-1
Maritimo
Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')
Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')
Jan 27, 2021 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Maritimo
1-3
Estoril
Joel (29')
Correa (37'), Morais (40'), Winck (78'), Jean (90+5'), Kerkez (90+9'), Hermes (116')
Winck (102'), Costa (120')
Gamboa (90+10' pen.), Thierry Lazare (97'), Harramiz (109')
Crespo (76'), Empis (86'), Soria (113')
Apr 7, 2018 4pm
Estoril
1-1
Maritimo
Evangelista (30' pen.)
Fonseca (65'), Ailton (75'), Dankler (99')
Joel (52')
Ruben (11'), Bebeto (29'), Valente (74'), Joel (90'), Cleber (98')
Nov 26, 2017 4pm
Maritimo
0-0
Estoril

Zainadine (61')

Evangelista (88'), Filipe Boa Morte (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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