Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23

Mar 5, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Bruma (36'), Banza (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Braga
Monday, February 27 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rio Ave

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Chaves
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Braga in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Braga.

Result
Braga	Draw	Rio Ave
63.72% ( 0)	21.37% ( 0.03)	14.91% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.18)

49.06% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86% (

-0.17)

71.14% (

0.17)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.26% (

-0.06)

14.74% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.04% (

-0.11)

42.96% (

0.11)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.96% (

-0.16)

45.04% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.04% (

-0.13)

80.96% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Braga 63.7%

Rio Ave 14.91%

Draw 21.36%

Braga	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 12.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 63.7%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.36%	0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 14.91%