Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals

Feb 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
1 - 1
Benfica

Elmusrati (36')

FT
(aet)

Guedes (15')

Braga win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Braga 4-1 Famalicao
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Maritimo vs. Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Next Game: Brugge vs. Benfica
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Braga had a probability of 23.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (6.67%).

Result
Braga	Draw	Benfica
23.66% ( -0.79)	23.97% ( -0.37)	52.37% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 53.63% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36% (

0.83)

47.64% (

-0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

0.76)

69.84% (

-0.76)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.53% (

-0.24)

34.47% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.82% (

-0.26)

71.18% (

0.26)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

0.77)

18.16% (

-0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.86% (

1.29)

49.14% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Braga 23.66%

Benfica 52.36%

Draw 23.97%

Braga	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.14% Total : 23.66%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.97%	0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.36%