Taca de Portugal | Round of 16

Jan 10, 2023 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio Varzim Sport Club

Varzim
0 - 2
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grimaldo (4'), Fernandez (78')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Varzim and Benfica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varzim

Last Game: Varzim 1-0 Sao Joao Ver
Tuesday, November 8 at 7pm in Taca de Portugal

Benfica

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Portimonense
Friday, January 6 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Varzim had a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.97%) and 0-3 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Varzim win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Varzim	Draw	Benfica
8.16% ( -0)	17.09% ( -0)	74.75% ( 0)

Both teams to score 38.3% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.83%

48.16% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.67% (

-0)

70.32% (

-0)

Varzim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.15% (

-0)

56.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.04% (

-0)

88.95%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.74% (

-0)

11.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.16% (

35.84% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Varzim 8.16%

Benfica 74.74%

Draw 17.09%

Varzim	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 3.61% 2-1 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.3% Total : 8.16%	1-1 @ 7.89% 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.44% Other @ 0.36% Total : 17.09%	0-2 @ 15.26% 0-1 @ 13.97% 0-3 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 8.62% 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-4 @ 6.07% 1-4 @ 3.43% 0-5 @ 2.65% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-5 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-6 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.14% Total : 74.74%