Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 21, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
0 - 3
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aursnes (9'), Ramos (16'), Guedes (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 0-0 Santa Clara
Friday, January 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-2 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, January 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 7.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.43%) and 0-3 (11.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Benfica
7.96% ( -0.27)	15.39% ( -0.17)	76.65% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 42.95% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.75% (

-0.16)

41.25% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.35% (

-0.16)

63.65% (

0.16)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.19% (

-0.76)

52.8% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.48% (

-0.49)

86.52% (

0.48)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.01% (

0.06)

8.99% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.36% (

0.15)

30.64% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 7.96%

Benfica 76.64%

Draw 15.39%

Santa Clara	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.63% Total : 7.96%	1-1 @ 7.3% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.53% Total : 15.39%	0-2 @ 13.77% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 11.06% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 6.66% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.44% Total : 76.64%