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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Benfica

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-2)
Grimaldo (7'), Mario (11')
Guedes (37'), Luis (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-3 Benfica

Benfica will be regarded as strong favourites to secure maximum points at the Estadio da Mata Real and will likely have more joy in the final third against their struggling counterparts. Pacos de Ferreira caused a few problems for the Eagles in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but they may struggle to breach their backline on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBenfica
6.5% (-0.008 -0.01) 12.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 80.86% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.87% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.71% (0.088999999999999 0.09)33.28% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.95% (0.101 0.1)55.05% (-0.103 -0.1)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.96% (0.043000000000006 0.04)51.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.63% (0.028 0.03)85.37% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.69% (0.022999999999996 0.02)6.31% (-0.0249 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.26% (0.066000000000003 0.07)23.74% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 6.5%
    Benfica 80.86%
    Draw 12.63%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 2.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 6.5%
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 12.63%
0-2 @ 12.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 11.32%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 7.82% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-4 @ 5.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 4.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 1.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 80.86%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Benfica

Pacos de Ferreira
4.4%
Draw
7.4%
Benfica
88.2%
68
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 8.15pm
Benfica
3-2
Pacos de Ferreira
Neres (42'), Mario (45+4' pen.), Ramos (56')
Philippe Koffi (39', 80')
Holsgrove (14')
May 13, 2022 8.15pm
Jan 9, 2022 6pm
Benfica
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Mario (45+5'), Grimaldo (75')
Otamendi (25'), Bernardo (90+1')

Fonseca (45+2'), Antunes (57'), Djalo (90')
Denilson (45+2')
Apr 10, 2021 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-5
Benfica

Costa (58')
Eustaquio (22')
Goncalves (38'), Silva (45'), Seferovic (45+8', 78'), Nunez (89')
Goncalves (28'), Verissimo (33'), Grimaldo (43'), Waldschmidt (58'), Seferovic (61')
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
Benfica
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (58'), Waldschmidt (90+4')
Otamendi (74')
Reabciuk (24')
Eustaquio (66'), Jordi (72'), Uilton (78'), Pepa (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Gil Vicente144461724-716
10Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
11Casa Pia133551117-614
12Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
13Nacional13337817-912
14Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
15BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
16AVS132561021-1111
17SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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