Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 26, 2023 at 8.15pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-2)

Grimaldo (7'), Mario (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Benfica
6.5% ( -0.01)	12.63% ( -0.02)	80.86% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 45.87% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.71% (

0.09)

33.28% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.95% (

0.1)

55.05% (

-0.1)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.96% (

0.04)

51.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.63% (

0.03)

85.37% (

-0.03)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.69% (

0.02)

6.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.26% (

0.07)

23.74% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 6.5%

Benfica 80.86%

Draw 12.63%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 6.5%	1-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.63%	0-2 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 11.32% 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 80.86%