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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio da Capital do Móvel
Benfica

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 2
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-2)
Grimaldo (7'), Mario (11')
Guedes (37'), Luis (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-2 Braga
Saturday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Pacos de Ferreira 0-3 Benfica

Benfica will be regarded as strong favourites to secure maximum points at the Estadio da Mata Real and will likely have more joy in the final third against their struggling counterparts. Pacos de Ferreira caused a few problems for the Eagles in the reverse fixture earlier this season, but they may struggle to breach their backline on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.98%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBenfica
6.5% (-0.008 -0.01) 12.63% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 80.86% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.87% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.71% (0.088999999999999 0.09)33.28% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.95% (0.101 0.1)55.05% (-0.103 -0.1)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.96% (0.043000000000006 0.04)51.04% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.63% (0.028 0.03)85.37% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.69% (0.022999999999996 0.02)6.31% (-0.0249 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.26% (0.066000000000003 0.07)23.74% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 6.5%
    Benfica 80.86%
    Draw 12.63%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 2.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 6.5%
1-1 @ 5.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 12.63%
0-2 @ 12.29% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 11.32%
0-1 @ 8.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 7.82% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 7.62% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-4 @ 5.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-5 @ 4.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 2.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 1.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.006 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 80.86%

How you voted: Pacos de Ferreira vs Benfica

Pacos de Ferreira
4.4%
Draw
7.4%
Benfica
88.2%
68
Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 8.15pm
Benfica
3-2
Pacos de Ferreira
Neres (42'), Mario (45+4' pen.), Ramos (56')
Philippe Koffi (39', 80')
Holsgrove (14')
May 13, 2022 8.15pm
Jan 9, 2022 6pm
Benfica
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Mario (45+5'), Grimaldo (75')
Otamendi (25'), Bernardo (90+1')

Fonseca (45+2'), Antunes (57'), Djalo (90')
Denilson (45+2')
Apr 10, 2021 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
0-5
Benfica

Costa (58')
Eustaquio (22')
Goncalves (38'), Silva (45'), Seferovic (45+8', 78'), Nunez (89')
Goncalves (28'), Verissimo (33'), Grimaldo (43'), Waldschmidt (58'), Seferovic (61')
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
Benfica
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (58'), Waldschmidt (90+4')
Otamendi (74')
Reabciuk (24')
Eustaquio (66'), Jordi (72'), Uilton (78'), Pepa (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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