Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Joao Mario 35' goal
  • Joao Mario 43' goal
  • Alexander Bah 71' goal

Benfica vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2023 9.15pm
Arouca 0 - 3 Benfica
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Goncalo Ramos

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 29, 2023 3.30pm
Casa Pia 2 - 1 Santa Clara
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result

Benfica 76.27% (+1.78)
Draw 14.61% (-1.08)
Casa Pia 9.11% (-0.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.62% (+1.38)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.97% (+3.17)
Under 2.5 33.03% (-3.16)
Over 3.5 45.24% (+3.56)
Under 3.5 54.75% (-3.55)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 92.85% (+1.11)
Under 0.5 7.15% (-1.11)
Over 1.5 73.98% (+2.84)
Under 1.5 26.02% (-2.83)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 55.59% (+0.83)
Under 0.5 44.41% (-0.83)
Over 1.5 19.54% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 80.46% (-0.66)

Score analysis

Benfica 76.26%
Draw 14.61%
Casa Pia 9.12%
Benfica
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.58)
3-0 @ 9.72% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.25)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.94)
3-1 @ 7.89% (+0.23)
4-0 @ 6.41% (+0.39)
4-1 @ 5.2% (+0.43)
5-0 @ 3.38% (+0.38)
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.17)
5-1 @ 2.74% (+0.37)
4-2 @ 2.11% (+0.22)
6-0 @ 1.49% (+0.24)
6-1 @ 1.21% (-97.90)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-93.49)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 76.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.8% (-0.59)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.56)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 14.61%
Casa Pia
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.18)
0-1 @ 2.58% (-0.39)
0-2 @ 1.05% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 9.12%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 13, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Neto 7' yellowcard
  • Saviour Godwin 27' yellowcard
  • Afonso Taira 31' yellowcard
  • Takahiro Kunimoto 53' yellowcard
  • Vasco Fernandes 59' yellowcard
  • Anderson 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 29'
  • yellowcard Florentino Luis 30'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 59'
  • redcard Nicolas Otamendi 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rafa Silva 90'+5'