Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 4, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
3 - 0
Casa Pia

Mario (35', 43'), Bah (71')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, January 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Casa Pia
76.27% ( 1.77)	14.61% ( -1.08)	9.11% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 51.62% (

1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.97% (

3.16)

33.03% (

-3.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.24% (

3.55)

54.75% (

-3.55)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.85% (

1.11)

7.15% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.98% (

2.83)

26.02% (

-2.83)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.59% (

0.83)

44.41% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.54% (

0.66)

80.46% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Benfica 76.26%

Casa Pia 9.12%

Draw 14.61%

Benfica	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.57) 3-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.94) 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.42) 5-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.38) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.36) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.24) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.22) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.43% Total : 76.26%	1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.59) 2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.56) Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.61%	1-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.75% Total : 9.12%