Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Jan 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
2 - 1
Santa Clara

Soma (75'), Clayton (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (82' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-3 Gil Vicente
Sunday, January 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Santa Clara 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Santa Clara
39.49% ( -0)	28.42% ( 0)	32.09% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.07% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.84% (

-0.01)

60.16% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.64% (

-0)

80.36% (

0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.31% (

-0.01)

29.69% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

-0.01)

65.75% (

0.01)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.52% (

34.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.81% (

-0)

71.19% (

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 39.49%

Santa Clara 32.09%

Draw 28.41%

Casa Pia	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 12.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.49%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.05% 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.25% Total : 32.09%