Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17

Jan 22, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
1 - 3
Gil Vicente

Martins (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Casa Pia
Monday, January 16 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-1 Guimaraes
Monday, January 16 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
32.02% ( -1.04)	26.59% ( -0.29)	41.39% ( 1.33)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66% (

0.9)

53.34% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

0.76)

74.88% (

-0.76)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

-0.24)

31% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

-0.28)

67.3% (

0.28)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

1.12)

25.42% (

-1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.76% (

1.51)

60.24% (

-1.51)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 32.02%

Gil Vicente 41.39%

Draw 26.59%

Casa Pia	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 32.02%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.39%