Taca de Portugal
Jan 12, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio do Bonfim
  • goal Yan Brice Eteki 3'

Vitoria de Setubal vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Setubal

All competitions

Casa Pia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result

Vitoria de Setubal 25.78% ▲ (+0.56)
Draw 24.6% ▼ (-0.35)
Casa Pia 49.62% ▼ (-0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% ▲ (+1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.56% ▲ (+1.87)
Under 2.5 48.44% ▼ (-1.86)
Over 3.5 29.43% ▲ (+1.68)
Under 3.5 70.57% ▼ (-1.68)

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5 66.9% ▲ (+1.47)
Under 0.5 33.1% ▼ (-1.47)
Over 1.5 30.31% ▲ (+1.59)
Under 1.5 69.69% ▼ (-1.59)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 80.45% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 0.5 19.55% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 1.5 48.54% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 1.5 51.46% ▼ (-1.05)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Setubal 25.78%
Draw 24.59%
Casa Pia 49.62%
Vitoria de Setubal
1-0 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.27)
2-1 @ 6.46% ▲ (+0.16)
2-0 @ 3.96% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 25.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 6.47% ▼ (-0.51)
2-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.23)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-94.15)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.59%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 10.56% ▼ (-0.60)
1-2 @ 9.53% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 8.62% ▼ (-0.32)
1-3 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 4.69% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.87% ▲ (+0.18)
1-4 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 49.62%