Taca de Portugal | Round of 16

Jan 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Estádio do Bonfim

Setubal
0 - 1
Casa Pia

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brice Eteki (3')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Casa Pia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Setubal

All competitions

Last Game: Pero Pinheiro 1-4 Setubal
Wednesday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Casa Pia

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Porto
Saturday, January 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Casa Pia
25.78% ( 0.56)	24.6% ( -0.34)	49.62% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 53.82% (

1.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.56% (

1.86)

48.44% (

-1.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.43% (

1.68)

70.57% (

-1.67)

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.9% (

1.47)

33.1% (

-1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.31% (

1.59)

69.69% (

-1.59)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.45% (

0.65)

19.55% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.54% (

1.05)

51.46% (

-1.05)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Setubal 25.78%

Casa Pia 49.62%

Draw 24.59%

Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.43% Total : 25.78%	1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.31) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 2.12% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.62%