Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Parque de Jogos Pardal Monteiro

Pero Pinheiro
1 - 4
Setubal

FT(HT: 0-2)

Varela (42', 45+3', 80'), Lima (90+4')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Pero Pinheiro and Vitoria de Setubal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Setubal

Last Game: Setubal 2-0 Belenenses
Sunday, July 26 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pero Pinheiro win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pero Pinheiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Pero Pinheiro	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
42.47% ( -0.04)	24.74% ( -0.02)	32.79% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.84% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

0.07)

45.2% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

0.07)

67.54% (

-0.07)

Pero Pinheiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

0.01)

21.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.72% (

0.02)

54.28% (

-0.02)

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

0.07)

26.48% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

0.09)

61.66% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Pero Pinheiro 42.47%

Vitoria de Setubal 32.79%

Draw 24.74%

Pero Pinheiro	Draw	Vitoria de Setubal
2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.47%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.79%