Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 6, 2023 at 9.15pm UK

Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
0 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

FT(HT: 0-0)

Chermiti (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Wednesday, February 1 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
15.18% ( 0.09)	21.9% ( 0.25)	62.92% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 45.9% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.3% (

-0.81)

50.7% (

0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.4% (

-0.72)

72.6% (

0.72)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.35% (

-0.36)

45.65% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.55% (

-0.28)

81.45% (

0.28)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

-0.38)

15.54% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53% (

-0.72)

44.47% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 15.18%

Sporting Lisbon 62.9%

Draw 21.9%

Rio Ave	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.18%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.9%	0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 62.9%