Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Rio Ave |
35.21% ( 0.04) | 28.15% ( -0) | 36.64% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.33% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.18% ( 0) | 58.82% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.67% | 79.33% ( -0) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.35% ( 0.02) | 31.65% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.93% ( 0.03) | 68.06% ( -0.03) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% ( -0.02) | 30.75% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( -0.03) | 67.01% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.19% 2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.15% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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