/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Friolog.png)
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Toni Martinez
44'
Porto vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F02%2Fporto.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 81.25%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 5.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.13%) and 1-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
81.25%
▼
(-0.76)
Draw
12.79%
▲
(+0.45)
Rio Ave
5.96%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
41.63%
▲
(+0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.22%
▼
(-0.84)
Under 2.5
36.77%
▲
(+0.84)
Over 3.5
41.06%
▼
(-0.92)
Under 3.5
58.94%
▲
(+0.92)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
93.04%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
6.96%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
74.5%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 1.5
25.49%
▲
(+0.89)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5
44.74%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 0.5
55.25%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 1.5
11.96%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
88.03%
▼
(-0.24)
Score analysis
Porto
81.24%
Draw
12.79%
Rio Ave
5.96%
Porto
2-0
@
13.65%
▲
(+0.08)
3-0 @ 12.13% ▼ (-0.15)
1-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.22)
5-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 81.24%
3-0 @ 12.13% ▼ (-0.15)
1-0 @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.25)
2-1 @ 8.1% ▲ (+0.14)
4-0 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.26)
3-1 @ 7.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.09)
5-0 @ 4.31% ▼ (-0.22)
5-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▼ (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 81.24%
Draw
1-1
@
6.08%
▲
(+0.22)
0-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 12.79%
0-0 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 12.79%
Rio Ave
0-1
@
2.28%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 5.96%
1-2 @ 1.8% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 5.96%
