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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Vizela

Porto
2 - 0
Vizela

Pepe (41'), Taremi (86')
Wendell (9'), Taremi (12')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bondoso (26'), Osmajic (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 2-0 Vizela

While Vizela have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Porto side who are currently firing on all cylinders. Conceicao's side have been imperious in the history of this fixture and we are backing them to come away with another victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 4.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
PortoDrawVizela
85.29% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 10.09% (0.045 0.04) 4.62% (0.0049000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 43.86% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.05% (-0.236 -0.24)28.95% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.09% (-0.292 -0.29)49.91% (0.29799999999999 0.3)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.31% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)4.69% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.96% (-0.149 -0.15)19.04% (0.155 0.16)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.02% (-0.185 -0.19)53.98% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.74% (-0.113 -0.11)87.27% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Porto 85.28%
    Vizela 4.62%
    Draw 10.09%
PortoDrawVizela
3-0 @ 12.08% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.85% (0.09 0.09)
4-0 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 7.75% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 5.66% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
5-1 @ 3.49% (-0.032 -0.03)
6-0 @ 2.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 85.28%
1-1 @ 4.78% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 10.09%
0-1 @ 1.56% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 4.62%

How you voted: Porto vs Vizela

Porto
94.3%
Draw
2.9%
Vizela
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 8.30pm
Porto
4-0
Vizela
Martinez (1'), Galeno (48'), Wendell (58'), Taremi (67' pen.)

Claudemir (31')
Aug 14, 2022 6pm
Vizela
0-1
Porto

Rosa (31'), Moreira (48'), Samu (56'), Buntic (68'), Afonso (72'), Rashid (89')
Marcano (90')
Mario (45'), Pepe (62'), Conceicao (62')
Apr 30, 2022 7pm
Porto
4-2
Vizela
Evanilson (21'), Taremi (28' pen., 87'), Mbemba (56')
Grujic (38')
Mendez (36'), Moreira (49')
Juliao (2')
Jan 12, 2022 8.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Vizela
1-3
Porto
Cassiano (24')
Silva (73'), Ofori (75')
Uribe (8'), Vieira (64' pen.), Evanilson (89')
Taremi (34'), Uribe (62'), Wendell (79')
Dec 19, 2021 7pm
Vizela
0-4
Porto

Zohi (39')
Schettine (52')
Diaz (14'), Otavio (19'), Sanusi (47'), Samu (64' og.)
Corona (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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