Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Vizela |
85.29% ( -0.04) | 10.09% ( 0.04) | 4.62% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 43.86% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.05% ( -0.24) | 28.95% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.09% ( -0.29) | 49.91% ( 0.3) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.31% ( -0.05) | 4.69% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
80.96% ( -0.15) | 19.04% ( 0.16) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
46.02% ( -0.19) | 53.98% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.74% ( -0.11) | 87.27% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Vizela |
3-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 9.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 85.28% | 1-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 10.09% | 0-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 4.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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