Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 5, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
2 - 0
Vizela

Pepe (41'), Taremi (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.29%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 4.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 4-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.78%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vizela
85.29% ( -0.04)	10.09% ( 0.04)	4.62% ( 0)

Both teams to score 43.86% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.05% (

-0.24)

28.95% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.09% (

-0.29)

49.91% (

0.3)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.31% (

-0.05)

4.69% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.96% (

-0.15)

19.04% (

0.16)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.02% (

-0.19)

53.98% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.74% (

-0.11)

87.27% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Porto 85.28%

Vizela 4.62%

Draw 10.09%

Porto	Draw	Vizela
3-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 9.25% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.7% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 85.28%	1-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.53% Total : 10.09%	0-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 4.62%