Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
35.35% ( -0.19) | 28.85% ( 0.19) | 35.79% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.29% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.68% ( -0.67) | 61.32% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.76% ( -0.5) | 81.23% ( 0.5) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.15% ( -0.47) | 32.85% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.58% ( -0.53) | 69.42% ( 0.53) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -0.34) | 32.56% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.38) | 69.09% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 12% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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