Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 1
Guimaraes

FT(HT: 0-1)

Safira (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
31.34% ( -0)	28.92% ( 0.03)	39.73% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.98% (

-0.1)

62.02% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.25% (

-0.07)

81.75% (

0.07)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98% (

-0.06)

36.02% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2% (

-0.06)

72.8% (

0.05)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.52% (

-0.07)

30.48% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.31% (

-0.08)

66.69% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 31.34%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.73%

Draw 28.91%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 31.34%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.91%	0-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.75% 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 39.73%