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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Estoril
0 - 1
Guimaraes


Delos (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Safira (11')
Amaro (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Famalicao 1-0 Estoril
Sunday, January 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estoril Praia 1-2 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Buoyed by Monday's victory over Chaves, Vitoria de Guimaraes will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they resume their push for a place in Europe. Estoril Praia have lost four of their last five matches and we predict that Os Vimaranenses will leave with a slender victory against the floundering hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
31.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 28.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 39.73% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.98% (-0.1 -0.1)62.02% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.25% (-0.073 -0.07)81.75% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.058 -0.06)36.02% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)72.8% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)30.48% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)66.69% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 31.34%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 39.73%
    Draw 28.91%
Estoril PraiaDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.2% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 31.34%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.97% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.91%
0-1 @ 13.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.005 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Estoril vs Guimaraes

Estoril Praia
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
42.9%
28
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Estoril
Silva (16')
Silva (34'), Silva (41'), Almeida (71')

Joaozinho (14'), Arthur (39'), Esteves (43'), Lea Siliki (87')
Esteves (60')
Jan 23, 2022 3.30pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Rochinha (61'), Estupinan (69', 90+3')
Borevkovic (43'), Soares (63'), Trmal (79'), Duarte (90+2')
Franco (29')
Ferraresi (25'), Thiago (53'), Gamboa (59')
Aug 13, 2021 8.15pm
Estoril
0-0
Guimaraes

Africo (1'), Crespo (90+4')

Semedo (40'), Silva (79'), Rochinha (90+2')
Semedo (56')
Jan 21, 2018 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-1
Estoril
Hurtado (20'), Raphinha (48'), Heldon (93')
N'Clomande (27'), Wakaso (45'), Henrique (70'), Heldon (71')
Claro (45')
Fonseca (71'), Rodrigues (76')
Abner (9')
Aug 14, 2017 7pm
Estoril
3-0
Guimaraes
Monteiro (18'), Kleber (63' pen., 80')
Wesley (25')
Wesley (38')

Hurtado (11'), Vigario (45')
Vigario (49'), Sa (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
11Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
12SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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