Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.