Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
| 37.7% ( | 27.37% ( | 34.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% ( | 55.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( | 77.01% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( | 28.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.52% ( | 64.48% ( |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( | 30.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( | 66.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.8% ( 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 3-0 @ 2.83% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.92% |