Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
| 30.84% ( | 26.99% ( | 42.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.73% ( | 55.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% ( | 76.49% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( | 32.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( | 69.38% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( | 25.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( | 60.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 3-0 @ 1.96% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.17% |