Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 12, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio dos Barreiros

Maritimo
1 - 2
Braga

Riascos (38')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Banza (40'), Racic (45+3' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 2-1 Maritimo
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Benfica (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.54%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Maritimo	Draw	Braga
18.39% ( 0.17)	22.17% ( 0.16)	59.44% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52% (

-0.42)

46.48% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

-0.39)

68.76% (

0.4)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.91% (

-0.05)

39.09% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.19% (

-0.05)

75.81% (

0.05)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.74% (

-0.24)

15.26% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.06% (

-0.46)

43.94% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Maritimo 18.39%

Braga 59.44%

Draw 22.16%

Maritimo	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 18.39%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.16%	0-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.44%