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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Maritimo

Chaves
2 - 1
Maritimo

Euller (2'), Vitoria (21' pen.)
Sylla (26'), Abass (29'), Vitor (39'), Teixeira (41'), Vitoria (43'), Guimaraes (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Winck (27' pen.)
Xadas (13'), Beltrame (14'), China (45+4'), Rene (80'), Val (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-1 Maritimo

Chaves and Maritimo have struggled for form in recent weeks and will head into Sunday in search of a morale-boosting result. However, we predict that they will both take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawMaritimo
51% (0.012 0.01) 26% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-0.138 -0.14)56.19% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (-0.114 -0.11)77.24% (0.113 0.11)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)22.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)55.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (-0.118 -0.12)39.83% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.11 -0.11)76.5% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 50.99%
    Maritimo 23%
    Draw 26%
ChavesDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.99%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Chaves vs Maritimo

Chaves
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Maritimo
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Joel (39')
Vidigal (45+7')
Rafael Brito Teixeira (70'), Bachi (75')
Martins Sousa (40')
Feb 2, 2019 3.30pm
Chaves
1-0
Maritimo
Bressan (69')
Jefferson (78'), Niltinho (92')

Africo (56'), Joel (80'), Junior (91'), Costa (94')
Aug 24, 2018 8.30pm
Maritimo
2-1
Chaves
Barrera (91'), Lucas (95')
Joel (42'), Danny (44'), China (87'), Barrera (91')
William (17')
Djavan (45'), Eustaquio (82'), Ghazaryan (85'), Gallo (94')
May 6, 2018 6pm
Chaves
4-1
Maritimo
Tiba (37'), Bressan (45' pen.), Pereira (52', 77' pen.)
Paulinho (43')
Bebeto (26')
Bebeto (45'), Junior (45'), Baiano (46')
Jan 3, 2018 6.15pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Oliveira (83')
Gamboa (55'), Carlos Ramos Martins (59'), Costa (67'), Borges (88')
Platiny (24'), Davidson (50')
Tiba (53'), Pereira (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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