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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 5, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Maritimo

Chaves
2 - 1
Maritimo

Euller (2'), Vitoria (21' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Winck (27' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Monday, January 30 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Maritimo

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Maritimo 0-2 Porto
Wednesday, February 1 at 7pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
ChavesDrawMaritimo
51% (0.012 0.01)26% (0.026999999999997 0.03)23% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.87% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81% (-0.138 -0.14)56.19% (0.137 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75% (-0.114 -0.11)77.24% (0.113 0.11)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)22.1% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)55.46% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (-0.118 -0.12)39.83% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (-0.11 -0.11)76.5% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 50.99%
    Maritimo 23%
    Draw 26%
ChavesDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.03% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 50.99%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23%

How you voted: Chaves vs Maritimo

Chaves
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Maritimo
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Joel (39')
Vidigal (45+7')
Rafael Brito Teixeira (70'), Bachi (75')
Martins Sousa (40')
Feb 2, 2019 3.30pm
Chaves
1-0
Maritimo
Bressan (69')
Jefferson (78'), Niltinho (92')

Africo (56'), Joel (80'), Junior (91'), Costa (94')
Aug 24, 2018 8.30pm
Maritimo
2-1
Chaves
Barrera (91'), Lucas (95')
Joel (42'), Danny (44'), China (87'), Barrera (91')
William (17')
Djavan (45'), Eustaquio (82'), Ghazaryan (85'), Gallo (94')
May 6, 2018 6pm
Chaves
4-1
Maritimo
Tiba (37'), Bressan (45' pen.), Pereira (52', 77' pen.)
Paulinho (43')
Bebeto (26')
Bebeto (45'), Junior (45'), Baiano (46')
Jan 3, 2018 6.15pm
Maritimo
1-2
Chaves
Oliveira (83')
Gamboa (55'), Carlos Ramos Martins (59'), Costa (67'), Borges (88')
Platiny (24'), Davidson (50')
Tiba (53'), Pereira (95')