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UEFA Conference League

Braga
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Fiorentina logo

Braga
0 - 4
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jovic (45+1', 60'), Cabral (79', 90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Braga and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Fiorentina

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawFiorentina
44.99% (-0.191 -0.19)25.37% (0.050000000000001 0.05)29.64% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-0.152 -0.15)49.22% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-0.137 -0.14)71.28% (0.137 0.14)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)21.86% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (-0.232 -0.23)55.1% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)30.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (0.026000000000003 0.03)66.79% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Braga 44.99%
    Fiorentina 29.64%
    Draw 25.37%
BragaDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 7.92% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.69% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 29.64%

How you voted: Braga vs Fiorentina

Braga
73.9%
Draw
11.6%
Fiorentina
14.5%
138