Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Braga0 - 4Fiorentina
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Braga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, February 12 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Braga 2-1 Fiorentina
There is little doubt that Braga head into this tie in considerably better form than their opponents, who are languishing in the bottom half of Serie A after enduring a poor run of form. However, we expect Fiorentina to keep things competitive, even if a narrow defeat would make the Portuguese side favourites to progress. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.99% ( -0.19) | 25.37% ( 0.05) | 29.64% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
