Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.