Lazio logo
Coppa Italia | Round of 16
Jan 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Lazio
1 - 0
Bologna

Anderson (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Lazio and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, January 15 at 11.30am in Serie A

Bologna

All competitions
Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Bologna
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawBologna
57.01% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)21.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.18% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.51% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.07% (0.043999999999997 0.04)40.93% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.68% (0.045999999999999 0.05)63.32% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.83%14.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)41.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.066000000000003 0.07)33% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.073 0.07)69.58% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 57.01%
    Bologna 21.18%
    Draw 21.81%
LazioDrawBologna
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.15%
4-0 @ 2.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 57.01%
1-1 @ 10.13%
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.81%
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 21.18%

How you voted: Lazio vs Bologna

Lazio
87.7%
Draw
10.4%
Bologna
1.9%
106
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 5.30pm
Lazio
2-1
Bologna
De Silvestri (68' og.), Immobile (79')
Sarri (58'), Lazzari (71'), Immobile (90+1')
Maximiano (6')
Arnautovic (38' pen.)
Sansone (23'), Arnautovic (38'), Soumaoro (40'), Cambiaso (53'), Aebischer (86')
Soumaoro (45+4')
Feb 12, 2022 2pm
Lazio
3-0
Bologna
Immobile (13' pen.), Zaccagni (53', 63')
Alberto (40'), Leiva (59')

Svanberg (20'), Medel (45')
Oct 3, 2021 11.30am
Bologna
3-0
Lazio
Barrow (14'), Theate (17'), Hickey (68')
Soumaoro (53'), De Silvestri (90+5')

Milinkovic-Savic (52'), Pedro (66'), Lazzari (75'), Acerbi (76'), Felipe (90+2')
Acerbi (76')
Feb 27, 2021 5pm
Bologna
2-0
Lazio
M'baye (19'), Sansone (64')
Larangeira (9')

Patric (40'), Hoedt (81')
Oct 24, 2020 7.45pm
Lazio
2-1
Bologna
Alberto (54'), Immobile (76')
Acerbi (30'), Hoedt (60'), Akpa-Akpro (70')
De Silvestri (90+1')
Tomiyasu (58'), Svanberg (66')