Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
We said: Bologna 1-1 Torino
Both teams have scored at a rate of around one goal per game in Serie A this season, and under Ivan Juric, Torino tend to keep things tight. Therefore, a low-scoring draw could be on the cards at Dall'Ara, which would see either side extend their unbeaten run.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.31% . A win for Torino had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26% .
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.73%) . The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result Bologna Draw Torino 47.31% ( 0.3) 25.95% ( -0.05) 26.74% ( -0.25)
Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.05)
46.78% ( 0.02) 53.22% ( -0.02)
25.21% ( 0.02) 74.78% ( -0.02)
77.51% ( 0.15) 22.49% ( -0.15)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.95% ( 0.22) 56.05% ( -0.21)
65.12% ( -0.19) 34.88% ( 0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.38% ( -0.2) 71.61% ( 0.2)
Bologna 47.31%
Torino 26.74%
Draw 25.94%
Bologna Draw Torino 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.31% 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.94% 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.74%
How you voted: Bologna vs Torino
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rhs 2.0
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