Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
47.31% ( 0.3) | 25.95% ( -0.05) | 26.74% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 50.47% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.78% ( 0.02) | 53.22% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.21% ( 0.02) | 74.78% ( -0.02) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.51% ( 0.15) | 22.49% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.95% ( 0.22) | 56.05% ( -0.21) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.12% ( -0.19) | 34.88% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.38% ( -0.2) | 71.61% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.03% Total : 47.31% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 26.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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