/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fmonlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
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Andrea Petagna
57'
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Lewis Ferguson
60'
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Riccardo Orsolini
73'
Monza vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 18.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bologna in this match.
Result
Monza
59.95%
▲
(+0.30)
Draw
21.56%
▼
(-0.09)
Bologna
18.49%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
53.79%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
43.68%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
33.93%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
66.07%
▼
(-0.07)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5
85.83%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
14.16%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 1.5
58.15%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
41.85%
▼
(-0.23)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
62.66%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 0.5
37.34%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 1.5
25.88%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 1.5
74.12%
▲
(+0.20)
Score analysis
Monza
59.95%
Draw
21.56%
Bologna
18.49%
Monza
1-0
@
10.33%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 59.95%
2-0 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.95% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 59.95%
Draw
1-1
@
10.18%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.56%
0-0 @ 5.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.56%
Bologna
0-1
@
5.21%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.49%
1-2 @ 5.02% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 18.49%