Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Monza |
| 35.91% ( | 26.05% ( | 38.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( | 50.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.36% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( | 27.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( | 62.49% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( | 25.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% ( | 60.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.91% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.04% |