Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 3
AC Milan

Bajrami (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rebic (79'), Ballo-Toure (90+3'), Leao (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Empoli
Saturday, September 17 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 1-2 Napoli
Sunday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Empoli win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Empoli	Draw	AC Milan
16.33% ( -0)	19.7% ( -0)	63.98% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.74% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.05% (

0.01)

38.95% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.73% (

0.01)

61.27% (

-0.01)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63%

37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.22%

73.79%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.47% (

11.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.56% (

0.01)

36.44% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Empoli 16.33%

AC Milan 63.98%

Draw 19.7%

Empoli	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.24% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.11% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.28% Total : 16.33%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.7%	0-2 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-1 @ 9.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.91% 0-5 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 4.11% Total : 63.98%