Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 0
Juventus

Gytkjaer (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

Last Six:

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cremonese	6	-5	2
19	Sampdoria	7	-9	2
20	Monza	6	-11	1

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Juventus 1-2 Benfica
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Lazio	6	4	11
8	Juventus	6	5	10
9	Torino	7	-1	10

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Juventus win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Juventus
41.47% ( 0.33)	24.74% ( 0.02)	33.79% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 58.16% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.08% (

-0.17)

44.92% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73% (

-0.16)

67.27% (

0.16)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

0.09)

21.67% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

0.14)

54.82% (

-0.14)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.26% (

-0.29)

25.74% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.33% (

-0.39)

60.67% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Monza 41.47%

Juventus 33.79%

Draw 24.74%

Monza	Draw	Juventus
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.47%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.74%	1-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 33.79%