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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Monza

Lecce
1 - 1
Monza

Gonzalez (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sensi (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LecceDrawMonza
51.83% (-0.154 -0.15)25.97% (0.058999999999997 0.06)22.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 46.06% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (-0.135 -0.13)56.77% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.109 -0.11)77.71% (0.104 0.1)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.02% (-0.124 -0.12)21.98% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71% (-0.185 -0.19)55.28% (0.182 0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.04% (0.011999999999993 0.01)40.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.48% (0.013000000000002 0.01)77.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 51.83%
    Monza 22.2%
    Draw 25.96%
LecceDrawMonza
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.83%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.04% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Lecce vs Monza

Lecce
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Monza
6.7%
75
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 2.35pm
Monza
0-1
Lecce

Donati (25'), Mazzitelli (45'), Pepin (50'), Paletta (54')
Coda (56' pen.)
Tuia (45+1'), Lucioni (63'), Gargiulo (66')
Oct 1, 2021 7.30pm
Lecce
3-0
Monza
Espeto (45+1'), Di Mariano (55'), Coda (70')
Barreca (51')

Marrone (32'), Mazzitelli (74')
May 4, 2021 1pm
Monza
1-0
Lecce
Barberis (41')
Balotelli (68')

Hjulmand (70')
Jan 4, 2021 3pm
Lecce
0-0
Monza

Mancosu (6'), Tachtsidis (14'), Dermaku (90+1')

Bettella (7')
Bellusci (90')