| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Lecce | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | -8 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Monza | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 51.83% ( | 25.97% ( | 22.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( | 56.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( | 77.71% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( | 21.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.71% ( | 55.28% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.04% ( | 40.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.48% ( | 77.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 3-0 @ 5.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 9% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.2% |