Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Monza |
| 32.74% ( | 27.13% ( | 40.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.72% ( | 55.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.5% ( | 76.5% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( | 31.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.12% ( | 67.88% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% | 26.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( | 62.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 5.67% ( 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.19% ( 3-2 @ 1.87% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.13% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 1-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.12% |