Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 0
Spezia

Augusto (32'), Mari (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-3 Monza
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Monza in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Monza.

Result
Monza	Draw	Spezia
62.27% ( 0.14)	20.61% ( -0.04)	17.12% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.27% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.29% (

0.05)

41.71% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89% (

0.05)

64.11% (

-0.04)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.16% (

0.06)

12.84% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.81% (

0.11)

39.2% (

-0.11)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.27% (

-0.08)

37.73% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.49% (

-0.07)

74.51% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Monza 62.27%

Spezia 17.12%

Draw 20.61%

Monza	Draw	Spezia
2-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 62.27%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.61%	1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.12%