Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 11

Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Lecce

Arnautovic (13' pen.), Ferguson (34')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Cagliari
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Fiorentina
Monday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 44%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Lecce
44% ( 3.05)	26.29% ( -0.17)	29.71% ( -2.88)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.04% (

-0.3)

52.96% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.44% (

-0.25)

74.56% (

0.25)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06% (

1.41)

23.94% (

-1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84% (

1.98)

58.16% (

-1.98)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.56% (

-2.16)

32.43% (

2.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.04% (

-2.51)

68.96% (

2.51)

Score Analysis

Bologna 44%

Lecce 29.71%

Draw 26.28%

Bologna	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.48) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.22) Other @ 2.72% Total : 44%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 1% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.71%