Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Ceesay (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kouame (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 2-1 Lecce
Sunday, October 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Hearts
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
42.14% ( 0.63)	26.51% ( 0.16)	31.35% ( -0.79)

Both teams to score 51.46% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.78% (

-0.91)

53.22% (

0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.22% (

-0.77)

74.78% (

0.77)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.02% (

-0.08)

24.98% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.37% (

-0.12)

59.63% (

0.12)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6% (

-1)

31.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23% (

-1.18)

67.77% (

1.18)

Score Analysis

Lecce 42.14%

Fiorentina 31.35%

Draw 26.51%

Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.14%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.35%