Serie A Gameweek 10
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Assan Ceesay 43' goal
  • goal Christian Kouame 48'

Lecce vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 1 Lecce
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Oct 10, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina 0 - 4 Lazio
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Arthur Cabral

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Lecce 42.14% (+0.63)
Draw 26.51% (+0.17)
Fiorentina 31.35% (-0.80)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.78% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 53.22% (+0.91)
Over 3.5 25.22% (-0.78)
Under 3.5 74.78% (+0.78)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 75.02% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 24.98% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 40.37% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 59.63% (+0.12)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 68.6% (-1.00)
Under 0.5 31.4% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 32.23% (-1.18)
Under 1.5 67.77% (+1.18)

Score analysis

Lecce 42.14%
Draw 26.51%
Fiorentina 31.35%
Lecce
1-0 @ 10.88% (+0.37)
2-1 @ 8.74% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.55% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 4.04% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.6% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.84% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.13)
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.51%
Fiorentina
0-1 @ 9.09% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.11)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 31.35%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Via del Mare
  • Gabriel 10' yellowcard
  • Khouma Babacar 21' yellowcard
  • Giulio Donati 36' yellowcard
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 88' goal
  • goal Federico Chiesa 6'
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 10'
  • yellowcard Rachid Ghezzal 27'
  • goal Rachid Ghezzal 38'
  • goal Patrick Cutrone 40'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 29'
  • goal Andrea La Mantia 49'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 60'
  • yellowcard Luca Rossettini 69'