| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Torino | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Salernitana | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Empoli | 6 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Lecce | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 6 | -5 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
| 36.68% ( | 27.52% ( | 35.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.57% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( | 77.44% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( | 29.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( | 65.56% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.92% ( | 30.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.78% ( | 66.22% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.61% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.68% | 1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.8% |