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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Cremonese

Lecce
1 - 1
Cremonese

Espeto (42' pen.)
Falcone (18'), Askildsen (53'), Pezzella (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ciofani (19' pen.)
Okereke (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Lecce
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-4 Lazio
Sunday, September 18 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-0 Cremonese

We can envisage a tight, nervy encounter in Lecce on Sunday, with the visitors determined to avoid defeat after their thrashing at the hands of Lazio last time out. As such, it would not be a surprise to see a low scoring draw ensue, which would ensure Cremonese do not fall further behind their fellow newly promoted rivals in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
LecceDrawCremonese
57.63% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 23.78% (0.00099999999999767 0) 18.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.11% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92%18.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.99% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)42.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)78.86% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 57.62%
    Cremonese 18.59%
    Draw 23.77%
LecceDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 13.13%
2-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 9.62%
3-0 @ 6.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
4-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1%
5-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 57.62%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.77%
0-1 @ 6.57%
1-2 @ 4.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 18.59%

How you voted: Lecce vs Cremonese

Lecce
66.7%
Draw
30.8%
Cremonese
2.6%
39
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Lecce
2-1
Cremonese
Gallo (14'), Okoli (90+1' og.)
Espeto (6'), Dermaku (52'), Lucioni (58')
Ciofani (15')
Valeri (11'), Valzania (21'), Strizzolo (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 7.30pm
Cremonese
3-0
Lecce
Valzania (51'), Buonaiuto (60'), Valeri (65')
Valeri (31'), Castagnetti (39'), Ravanelli (83')

Espeto (39')
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Cremonese
1-2
Lecce
Gaetano (7')
Ravanelli (29')
Ravanelli (90+2')
Castagnetti (30' og.), Rodriguez (54')
Hjulmand (52'), Lucioni (60'), Nikolov (81')
Oct 21, 2020 6pm
Lecce
2-2
Cremonese
Dermaku (47'), Coda (64')
Gaetano (30'), Valzania (34')
Terranova (12'), Strizzolo (45'), Fiordaliso (54'), Gustafson (58'), Castagnetti (90')
Apr 7, 2019 2pm
Cremonese
2-0
Lecce
Strizzolo (68', 78')
Migliore (49'), Castrovilli (62')

La Mantia (6'), Petriccione (76')
Vigorito (24')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
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15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
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RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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