Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 52.02% ( | 24.7% ( | 23.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.02% ( | 50.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.15% ( | 72.84% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( | 19.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.5% ( | 51.5% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.35% ( | 36.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( | 73.44% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.02% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% ( Other @ 0.97% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.29% |