Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 10

Oct 16, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
3 - 2
Bologna

Jesus (45'), Lozano (49'), Osimhen (69')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zirkzee (41'), Barrow (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 4-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Bologna
75.27% ( 0.04)	15.25% ( -0.01)	9.48% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.57% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.91% (

-0.06)

35.09% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.91% (

-0.06)

57.09% (

0.06)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.17% (

-0.01)

7.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.22% (

-0.01)

27.78% (

0.01)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.87% (

-0.1)

45.13% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.96% (

-0.08)

81.04% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Napoli 75.26%

Bologna 9.48%

Draw 15.25%

Napoli	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 75.26%	1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 15.25%	1-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 9.48%