/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog_1.png)
-
Juan Jesus
45'
-
Hirving Lozano
49'
-
Victor Osimhen
69'
-
Joshua Zirkzee
41'
-
Musa Barrow
51'
Napoli vs Bologna - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
75.27%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
15.25%
▼
(-0.01)
Bologna
9.48%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
50.57%
▼
(-0.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
64.91%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
35.09%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
42.91%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
57.09%
▲
(+0.07)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
92.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
7.83%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
72.22%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
27.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5
54.87%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
45.13%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
18.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
81.04%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Napoli
75.26%
Draw
15.25%
Bologna
9.48%
Napoli
2-0
@
11.46%
▲
(+0.04)
3-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1% ▲ (+99.00)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 75.26%
3-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 7.74% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
5-1 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
6-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1% ▲ (+99.00)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 75.26%
Draw
1-1
@
7.16%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 15.25%
2-2 @ 3.63% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 15.25%
Bologna
1-2
@
2.85%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 9.48%
0-1 @ 2.81% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 9.48%
