Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 9

Oct 9, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
1 - 4
Napoli

Dessers (47')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Politano (26' pen.), Simeone (76'), Lozano (90+2'), Olivera (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cremonese
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Ajax 1-6 Napoli
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cremonese win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Napoli
21.95% ( 1.34)	22.38% ( 0.45)	55.67% ( -1.78)

Both teams to score 56.68% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.44% (

-0.3)

42.56% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.04% (

-0.29)

64.96% (

0.3)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.8% (

1.1)

33.2% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.19% (

1.2)

69.81% (

-1.19)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84% (

-0.68)

15.16% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24% (

-1.3)

43.75% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 21.95%

Napoli 55.67%

Draw 22.38%

Cremonese	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.95%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.38%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.16) 0-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.67%